So, I guess today is a big day for the bubble. That said, it seems like today is as good a day as any to put forth my official take on the bubble. Before discussing the bubble we need to say who is already in. First I need to take out the 31 automatic qualifiers. For the sake of argument I am going to assume wins by Arkansas and Wisconsin to save two bids (and consequently you will not see those two listed as locks although they both are).
My locks for bids right now are the North Carolina/Clemson loser, Duke, Miami, Xavier, Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Connecticut, Marquette, West Virginia, Purdue, Michigan State, Indiana, the Texas/Kansas loser, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, BYU, Stanford, Washington State, USC, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, and Gonzaga.
So, if I’m any good at math (I’m not) that leaves 10 open spots for what I have deemed 15 teams. If I didn’t list your favorite team that means the committee would be wrong to include them (not to say that’s impossible; they seem to be egregiously wrong pretty much at least once a year). So, I’ve ranked the 15 teams and here it goes:
- St. Mary’s
- Arizona
- St. Joseph’s
- Baylor
- Kansas State
- Kentucky
- South Alabama
- Villanova
- Illinois State
- Oregon
CURRENT CUT LINE
- Arizona State
- Massachusetts
- Ohio State
- Virginia Commonwealth
- Virginia Tech
In my mind the true bubble should probably start after Kentucky. If you’re a fan of a team I ranked South Alabama or lower and your team does not get in you don’t deserve to whine; you had PLENTY of opportunities.
Be sure to check back in a couple of hours at the start of the selection show for our live blog!
1 comments:
I don't understand how Kentucky can list LSU as a key win and for Villanova it was just another victory.
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