Saturday, March 14, 2009

I Hate the Eye Test

Watching Hubert Davis talk about the "eye test" nearly killed me. That sounds like a wonderful idea. Let's do everything we can to increase subjectiveness and bias. Fantastic. By my eye test the Missouri Valley should get 10 teams in the field. You can't say I'm wrong because that's what my eyes say.

In order for someone's eye test to have any validity they must have seen every team play. Unless you have seen an adequate sample of each team (Malcolm Gladwell be damned), you cannot compare these teams using an eye test. No one, not even Davis, has seen all 347 teams enough to do this. I won't believe it.

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